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Health

The Global Climate Risks Platform's Health Risks section explores how climate change intensifies health threats worldwide.

Climate change directly harms health through rising temperatures, heatwaves, sea-level rise, and extreme weather events, driving increased mortality, infectious disease, and worsening mental health outcomes. Indirect effects compound risks further - expanding the range of insects and animals that carry disease, deepening food insecurity and malnutrition, and forcing displacement.

Climate Change and Public Health Risks

Climate change is one of the most profound challenges of our time, driving more frequent and severe extreme weather events like heatwaves, heavy rainfall, droughts, and cyclones. The polar regions play a crucial role in regulating global weather, food security, and disease patterns. Rapid changes such as ice melting, ocean acidification, and permafrost thaw amplify health risks worldwide by disrupting weather patterns and ecosystems. The IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6, 2023) highlights that risks and adverse impacts escalate with each increment of warming, leading to compound and cascading risks—where multiple disasters happen together or trigger a chain of health crises.
These escalating climate threats are set to reshape global health landscapes, disproportionately impacting vulnerable populations. According to a new World Economic Forum report, climate change could lead to 14.5 million additional deaths and $12.5 trillion in economic losses by 2050, with healthcare systems facing an added $1.1 trillion burden. The report highlights the increasing risks of climate-sensitive diseases like malaria and dengue, as well as the devastating health effects of extreme weather events, pollution, and emerging pathogens. Addressing these challenges requires urgent global collaboration, emission-reduction strategies, and healthcare system transformation to build resilience. You can access the full report here.

Climate change in the polar regions may sound like a distant crisis, but a review of research led by researchers from Arctic Basecamp and the University of Exeter (Naik et al., 2025) shows that changing polar regions are an under-recognised driver of global health risks, with consequences reaching far beyond the Arctic and Antarctic. 

The polar regions are warming at an average rate of up to 4x faster than the global average. This accelerated change is likely to trigger feedback loops and tipping cascades, reshaping global health risks in complicated and interlinked ways. 

Read the full study here

As rising temperatures weaken the jetstream and disrupt ocean currents, extreme weather is expected to drive up rates of severe injury, fatalities, and mental health disorders. A seasonally ice-free Arctic could worsen heatwaves – particularly in tropical areas – which could drive up rates of chronic diseases including kidney and cardiovascular disease. 

The study finds that warmer polar regions could also drive malnutrition-related disease, drive the spread of waterborne diseases like cholera and typhoid, and drive insect and animal-borne diseases into regions previously unaffected. You can access the full article here.  

Urban Climate-Health Risks and Solutions

Climate hazards are hitting 83% of cities worldwide. As Prof. Gail Whiteman, Executive Director of Arctic Basecamp, and Annika Green, outline in a recent blog for the World Economic Forum, four cities are already making changes- and their results are measurable.

Ahmedabad faced lethal heat every summer. It introduced cool roofs, hydration stations, and SMS early warning systems — and cut heat-related mortality by 25% within three years. London introduced low-emission zones to tackle climate-warming traffic pollution. Cardiovascular emergency admissions fell 9%, and the policy now generates over £37 million in annual health and productivity savings.

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Philadelphia faced worsening floods and rising waterborne health risks. Its green infrastructure programme now diverts 3 billion gallons of stormwater annually, cooling nearby streets by up to 5°C. Medellín was one of Latin America's most intense urban heat islands. A $16.3 million investment in green corridors dropped city temperatures by 2°C, cut air pollutants by 8%, and reduced acute respiratory infections by over 40% within three years.

The pattern is clear: the solutions exist, the returns are real, and the playbook is available to any city willing to use it.

read the WEF blog

Rise in Climate Change Driven Diseases

Climate change is expanding the range of vector-borne diseases like malaria and dengue fever due to favorable conditions for mosquitoes and ticks (Fouque & Reeder, 2019).Vector-borne diseases are a consequence of not just long-term temperature increase, but also extremes in temperature and precipitation associated with global warming; flooding provides breeding habitat for mosquitoes that carry diseases like dengue and malaria. Drought can also contribute to mosquito reproduction as people increase their storage of still water in reservoirs.

Nevertheless, stagnant water following heavy rainfall and flooding is the biggest contributor to increased transmission of mosquito-borne disease. Warming also extends the mosquito breeding season, allows mosquitoes to expand their range, and increases the likelihood that a bite from an infected mosquito will transmit disease. Similarly, ticks in North America and Europe are able to reproduce more efficiently and expand habitats with longer shoulder seasons.

With regional increases in temperature projected in the range of 2-4°C, vector-borne diseases are expected to sharply increase in the absence of vector control management, disease surveillance, early warning systems, and vaccine development.

Moreover, in Africa, flood exposure was linked to 3.42 infant deaths per 1,000 births, 1.7 times higher than deaths from lifetime exposure (Zhu et al., 2024). Melting ice sheets, such as the West Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheet, contribute to destabilising shorelines and displacing communities (Cazenave & Cozannet, 2013). This disrupts agriculture and drinking water supplies, leading to health problems like dehydration, kidney issues, and waterborne diseases such as cholera, hepatitis, and leptospirosis (UN Press, 2023).

Furthermore, changing environments increase the likelihood of animal-human disease spread, the spread of disease across geographies, the growth of toxic algae blooms that damage water access, and the spread of moulds that can damage the lungs and brain.

Rising Temperatures, Extreme Weather and Humanitarian Crises

A 2024 study from CICERO and the University of Reading predicts that without significant action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, 70% of the global population will face temperature extremes above 40°C and a 7% rise in extreme daily rainfall within the next 20 years (Iles et al., 2024; World Meteorological Organization (WMO), 2023). Similarly, Trancoso et al. (2024) projects that one to two-thirds of the global population will experience markedly wetter or drier conditions. These extremes are evident through increased flooding in Europe and Africa, heavy rainfall in South Asia, and heatwaves in Brazil, Asia, and Africa. Unprecedented drought in Africa, Afghanistan, and India has resulted in acute malnutrition, food shortage and humanitarian crises. These events drive the mass displacement of people, who are often forced into crowded and/or unhygienic conditions which facilitate the spread of disease. 

The Lancet Countdown Report (2024) found a 167% increase in heat-related deaths among those over 65 years old in 2023 compared to the 1990s. Additionally, high temperatures in 2023 led to a 6% increase in sleep loss hours compared to the 1986–2005 average (Marina et al., 2024).Furthermore, warmer atmospheres are able to hold more moisture (IPCC AR6 WG1, 2021), providing more breeding grounds and favourable conditions for pathogens like malaria and cholera. Despite a 40% reduction of malarial deaths in the past twenty years, more than 562,000 people die annually, 96% from the African continent. Direct costs associated with lost productivity top US$12 billion.

Air Pollution and Human Health 

Air pollution and polar change are intricately linked through the intensification of wildfires, driven by rising temperatures, thawing permafrost, and drier ecosystems in high-latitude regions. As the Arctic warms nearly four times faster than the global average, the frequency and intensity of wildfires, often termed “zombie fires” have surged. These fires release massive quantities of carbon dioxide, methane, and particulate matter into the atmosphere, contributing to global air pollution and amplifying the greenhouse effect. The fine particulate matter from these wildfires travels across continents, exacerbating respiratory and cardiovascular diseases in distant population 
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Mental Health Challenges

The mental health impacts of climate change are significant. Extreme weather and prolonged heat exposure are linked to increased incidences of anxiety, depression, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and acute psychological trauma (Ebi, 2021).  

A recent systematic review and meta-analysis of 49 studies across 25 countries found that around 23% of people experienced post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), 28% experienced depression, 31% experienced anxiety, and 32% experienced psychological stress following climate-related hazards. The study also identified women, Indigenous peoples, low-income populations, and climate-dependent livelihood groups as particularly vulnerable to adverse mental health outcomes (Niazi et al., 2026). 

Inadequate healthcare infrastructure due to extreme weather further reduces the capacity to address these concerns. Rising sea levels and displacement of communities worsen mental health outcomes by creating overcrowded conditions and increasing vulnerability to diseases. 

The mental health impacts of climate change extend beyond individual well-being and create significant economic costs. Mental health conditions account for an estimated EUR 76 billion in annual healthcare costs across the European Union (around 6% of total health spending), while poor mental health is projected to reduce GDP by an average of 1.7% annually between 2025 and 2050 due to losses in productivity and workforce participation (OECD, 2026). As climate-related hazards increase the prevalence of anxiety, depression, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and psychological stress, they may further amplify these social and economic burdens. 

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Contaminants and Antimicrobial Resistance

In polar regions, climate change is re-releasing Persistent Organic Pollutants (POPs) and Contaminants of Emerging Arctic Concern (CEACs) accumulated in permafrost and ice (de Wit, 2022; Potapowicz, 2018). These contaminants enter the food chain, causing hormone disruption and neurodevelopmental issues. Permafrost thaw and degradation also pose the threat of releasing bacteria resistant to antibiotics from permafrost soils.  This rise in antimicrobial resistance complicates global health, making infections harder to treat (Depta & Niedźwiedzka-Rystwej, 2023). These emerging risks require urgent attention and coordinated action to protect human health worldwide.
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Bridging Gaps in Health Risk Assessments

Despite these challenges, gaps remain in integrating polar science into health risk analyses (Napoli et al., 2022). Data on health outcomes, including mental health, waterborne diseases, and impacts on vulnerable populations, often lack standardization. Effective communication strategies linking polar changes to regional health risks are underdeveloped, hindered by factors like complex terminology, limited media coverage, misinformation, and cultural differences (Nadeau et al., 2024; Goldstein et al., 2020). Health systems must adopt climate-inclusive health policies and promote renewed research approaches to build resilience and address climate-related health challenges effectively.
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