Climate Change is Putting East Africa’s Crops, Culture, and Commerce at Risk

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East Africaโ€™s vibrant and diverse food culture is being put at risk as climate change threatens the region’s most important crops. Teff, matoke, cassava and maizeโ€”staples of many East African mealtimesโ€”are vulnerable to rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns, and the spread of pests and diseasesโ€”risks that can all be intensified by climate change. The result can mean smaller harvests, lost income for farmers, and food insecurity for the communities who have enjoyed these foods for generations.

Climate change is also bad for businesses. SMEs, manufacturers, food processors, and distributors are all facing real risks stemming from smaller harvests and disrupted supply chains. Some crops, like tea and coffee, are not only local favourites but also major regional exports, supporting millions of farming families and forming the backbone of national economies.

The good news is that practical solutions are being developed to support farmers and businesses to adapt to climate change. By taking steps to protect harvests today, farmers and businesses can secure East African agriculture, protect mealtimes and livelihoods, and keep these foods part of everyday life for future generations.

Why These Crops Matter

Food is more than a source of nutrition. For communities, these crops are closely linked to culture, identity, and daily life.

In Ethiopia, buna brings together friends, families, and neighbours over cups of coffee and torn injera to foster connection and show care for one another.

Matoke, Uganda’s national dish, is served to guests as a sign of hospitality and celebration of unity and abundance, meanwhile ugali (made from maize or cassava) is an important part of everyday life for Kenyans and Tanzanians. These crops feed millions every day, sustaining whole communities, businesses, and the economies that depend on their success. When climate change affects these crops, the impacts can be felt throughout East Africa.

Most farmers rely on rainfall rather than irrigation systems to grow teff. Despite being a resilient plant, this makes teff highly vulnerable to high temperature and dry weather extremes โ€”with severe water stress shown to reduce yields by as much as 40%.

Because of this, climate change is changing where teff can be grown, with warmer lowland areas quickly becoming unsuitable.

A quarter of Kenyaโ€™s export earnings come from tea that is grown on rain-fed plantations, making the sector sensitive to changes in rainfall and temperature.

Under the warmer conditions predicted by medium-to-high emissions scenarios, some traditional tea growing areas may face reduced suitability, with cultivation pressure shifting toward higher-altitude areas. These conditions are also creating opportunities for pests and invasive plants to spread, increasing costs to farmers and further reducing yields.

Maize, which is consumed by around 85% of Kenyaโ€™s population and central to national food security, is also vulnerable to irregular rainfall and high temperatures. Poor harvests can quickly affect food prices, household incomes, and national food security.

Cassava thrives between 25-30ยฐC, but extreme heat can hinder its growth and reduce productivity.

Rising temperatures are also helping pests spread into new areas, with vector-borne diseases like Cassava Brown Streak Disease (spread by Cassava Whitefly) predicted to spreadโ€”putting 55% of East Africaโ€™s land area at risk by 2050.

Because cassava is commonly grown from stem cuttings, diseases can spread quickly if infected cuttings or contaminated tools are used.

Bananas and plantains grow best within a narrow temperature range, and even small increases in temperature can affect plant development and reduce yields. Changing climate conditions are also increasing the spread of damaging diseasesโ€”like banana bunchy top and black leaf streak (black sigatoka)โ€”that are affecting banana crops.

What Can Farmers and Businesses Do?

Protecting East Africa’s most important crops will require joined-up action from farmers, businesses, governments, institutions, development partners, and local communities.

Several practical approaches can help reduce climate-related risks and protect East African mealtimes for future generations.

Use More Climate-Resilient Crop Varieties


Adopting and developing crop varieties that can better withstand drought, heat, and disease is one of the most effective ways to protect future crop production. This includes drought-tolerant tea varieties, early maturing maize, and disease-resistant cassava strains, as well as ensuring genetic diversity through crop breeding.

Improve Access to Finance and Climate Information


Access to weather forecasts, early warning systems, affordable insurance and microfinance programs can help farmers and small businesses make informed decisions and recover more quickly from climate-related shocks. For SMEs operating in agricultural value chains, these tools can support better planning, investment, and risk management.

Strengthen Pest and Disease
Management


Early detection of crop diseases and improved farm hygiene can help reduce the spread of pests and diseases. Training and access to advisory services can help farmers respond quickly to threats.

Expand Agroforestry


Integrating trees into farming systems can help moderate temperature and moisture extremes by creating shade that cools the soil, reduces plant water-loss, and sequesters carbon back into the soil. Trees can also provide supplementary income for farmers through fruit and timber, supporting long-term business sustainability.

Improve Water and Soil
Management


Water management practices help farmers cope with increasingly unpredictable rainfall. Solutions include irrigation systems, rainwater harvesting, terracing, and mulching to protect against long dry spells.

Climate risks to crops are not just agricultural challengesโ€”they affect traditions, livelihoods, and the foods communities grow, share, and celebrate. Save the Flavours explores how stories of climate-threatened foods can help build support for the people working to protect them.

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